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With the last primaries now over, and with less than seven weeks until election day, we're going to try to post more on the campaign each day. So, plan on checking in, say, in late afternoon, and possibly late at night. We post as events warrant, so we can't guarantee you'll find new bulletins, but chances are you will. Remember, the flag border around a story means it's election-related.
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2010
NEW FOX POLL BRINGS GOP SMILES – AT 4:01 P.M. ET: A new poll just announced by Fox brings reassurance to the GOP. It confirms, among other items, that the enthusiasm gap tilts dramatically in the Republicans' direction, while Obama's approval rating hits a new low:
However, not all the news was good:
That worries me. Constant talk, exaggerated by the mainstream media, about GOP "extremism," can turn off independents, who are the key to any victory. We'll watch the polling carefully, but I'm concerned a possible erosion in the Republican margin among independents. This is the second poll this week to show it.
Fox now has Obama less popular than does Rasmussen. The Clinton figure continues to fascinate. Of course, she's not as exposed as Obama, and knows when to keep her mouth shut. There may also be some guilt feelings over the way she was treated during the 2008 primary campaign. We continue to look for signs that Obama might not run in 2012, handing the nomination to Clinton. The odds are against it because of Obama's ego, but strange things happen in politics. September 17, 2010 Permalink
RELIGION OF PEACE STRIKES AGAIN – AT 3:41 P.M. ET: Something else for the Ground Zero mosque guy to explain – an apparent attempt on the life of Pope Benedict. From London's Telegraph:
COMMENT: Good work by the Yard, and a close call for civilization. But I'm taking bets: How long do you think it will be before these gents are released on grounds that 1) it was a misunderstanding, or 2) there's no hard evidence, or 3) we must try to understand Muslim anger? Britain is being warned repeatedly that it is in the terrorists' sights. But the new, supposedly conservative government of David Cameron, has been a major disappointment, in part because it had to team with liberals to form a majority coalition. The pope is considered a major target of Muslim extremists. September 17, 2010 Permalink
PRESIDENT CATCHES NO BREAK IN LATEST POLL – AT 9:37 A.M. ET: The president has been out on the campaign trail, but it hasn't helped his own poll numbers, at least according to Scott Rasmussen:
And...
COMMENT: There is variance in this poll from day to day, but what stands out is the intensity of dislike for this president and the consistency of his negative numbers. It is hard to see anything that Mr. Obama can do in the six and a half weeks before election to change things. This midterm is a referendum on him, and we note that many Dem candidates don't want to be seen with him. What a reversal from 2008. Winning is the easy part. It's the governing that gets them. But the Dems are desperate, and expect a fear campaign of huge proportions as we approach election day. September 17, 2010 Permalink
NOT ACCEPTABLE – AT 8:55 A.M. ET: Information is surfacing on the possible infiltration of jihadism into Capitol Hill. This is disturbing, and we assume that members of Congress are aware of it:
And...
COMMENT: This is explosive stuff. Of course, the usual suspects will crawl out of the woodwork to scream "McCarthyism," but we, as Americans, have a right to know who's on the public payroll. Infiltration is not new in American life. There's no question, acknowledging the excesses of Joe McCarthy, that Communists had infiltrated into the U.S. Government in the 30s, 40s, and 50s. There's no question but that there was an active pro-Nazi movement in America before World War II. (Did you know that in the town of Yaphank, in eastern Long Island, there was a Hitler Street and a Goebbels Street?) A Hollywood film, "The House on 92nd Street," portrayed that infiltration. And yes, there's no question but that elements loyal to the Japanese emperor were operating on our West Coast before Pearl Harbor, although the overwhelming number of Japanese-Americans were intensely loyal to America and sent their sons to fight with conspicuous gallantry in Europe. Please read the whole article. What's happening on Capitol Hill may be legal, but it isn't right. September 17, 2010 Permalink NO CLASS IS NO CLASS – AT 8:29 A.M. ET: We occasionally follow, with fascination, the maneuvers of one Jimmah Carter, an accidental president and one-man nation-wrecking machine. Jimmah's last outburst, a few days ago, assured Americans that the well-meaning folk in the North Korean government are sincerely interested in a deal with the United States. Why would we think otherwise? Now little Jimmah is out with a startling charge:
COMMENT: The incredible shrinking Carter. Whether you liked Ted Kennedy or not really isn't the issue. Carter didn't even have the decency to make his charge while Kennedy was alive, and could reply. He waited for the man to die. Jimmy Carter is a petty little man who should never be taken seriously. His election to the presidency in 1976 came as a result of public revulsion over Watergate and other things happening in Washington. It demonstrates the danger of votes cast for negative reasons only. An Urgent Agenda source informs us that Carter and his wife were despised by the permanent White House staff. Carter lost a good chunk of the Jewish vote to Ronald Reagan in 1980, and has since become militantly anti-Israel. I suspect that the two are related. Mr. Small Time. September 17, 2010 Permalink
TEA PARTY UNDER SCRUTINY – AT 8:02 A.M. ET: Christine O'Donnell's victory in Delaware has prompted new debate over the role of the Tea Party in Republican politics, and, more important, in the nation. It's what diplomats like to call an "agonizing reappraisal." Michael Gerson examines the issue in the Washington Post:
Gerson makes plain his displeasure at Delaware:
Look, this just can't be denied. I want O'Donnell to win, but she has more baggage than Samsonite. An article in today's Politico quotes former O'Donnell staffers, and it's devastating. It will be used against her effectively.
And...
This is a very thoughtful piece, and I commend it to you. Movements can generate enormous enthusiasm, but they are often run by people who have little talent for governing and little tolerance for the fact that what may sell in one part of the country can be poison somewhere else. The Democratic Party is run by zealous groups that have brought it to its current ridiculous position. Consider the zealots in teachers' unions who have paralyzed the party's role in education. I don't want to see that happen in the GOP. I also recall the Adlai Stevenson crowd within the Democratic Party in the 1950s. They demanded a second presidential nomination for Stevenson in 1956, and tried even to get him a third in 1960, despite overwhelming evidence that he was unelectable. They liked his intellectual style, which was everything to them. Elections are about winning. There's no prize for second place. As Gerson points out, the Tea Party, while producing victories in some House races, might be responsible for the Republicans not winning the Senate, depriving the GOP of committee chairmanships that could be instrumental in shaping the fate of the nation. The GOP faces a common, but bitter dilemma – how to accept support but prevent a takeover. The master of that art was Ronald Reagan, who always kept a distance even from movements that supported him. He learned the lesson from FDR, who did the same. Accept their support, limit their influence. It's a strategy to remember. September 17, 2010 Permalink
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 16, 2010
WHOOPS-A-ROOTIE – DID REID ACTUALLY SAY THAT? – AT 10:41 P.M.. ET: A comment by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, himself in some electoral hot water in Nevada, may help Christine O'Donnell mightily in Delaware. The Hill reports the quote:
Now get this:
His pet? His PET? Oh, I can just see Christine O'Donnell's TV ads. She's running against Harry's pet. Now here is an opening sent from Heaven. Also, we learned today that Coons described himself in college as "a bearded Marxist." Look, this guy hasn't been defined yet, and it's up to Christine to define him, and fast. Hey, y'never know. O'Donnell might just pull this out when Delaware voters learn that her Democratic opponent is Harry's poodle and has a thing for Joe Stalin besides. September 16, 2010 Permalink
WE KNEW IT, WE KNEW IT, WE KNEW IT – AT 8:48 P.M. ET: Well, at least the White House is entrepreneurial. If one thing doesn't sell, they try something else. And they've learned their Orwell. From Fox:
No, guys, that's not the problem. The problem is that you never made your case. The public is on to you. They know that the issue is complex, and that the "science" is not as clear as you've claimed.
COMMENT: I suspect that this gimmick won't be any more successful than the last one. What the American people want is a serious, neutral inquiry into what we know, and what we don't know. They want to know what's proved, and what's theory. One problem here is that the people don't trust the media – something clear in every poll – and demand real answers that won't be filtered through the Obamafied press. When I was at the Columbia School of Journalism, which was respectable in those days, we were taught a basic lesson: Never underestimate the public's intelligence, and never overestimate its knowledge. The "global warming" crowd has done both, with predictable results. New labels will not change the fact that the garment is worn out. September 16, 2010 Permalink
BEYOND DISHONEST – AT 6:38 P.M. ET: I guess Nancy Pelosi was inspired by President Obama's taking credit for progress in Iraq. Now she gets artistic with the history of tax cuts. Fox News has the lie:
We have researched the issue thoroughly, using the extensive worldwide resources of Urgent Agenda, and could find no Obama middle-income tax cuts to extend. It is apparent that the speaker, perhaps suffering the effects of an aging process not stopped by extensive plastic surgery – there is no such thing as a brainlift – has confused Mr. Bush with Mr. Obama. We assume that her San Francisco therapist will know how to deal with such a discouraging event. September 16, 2010 Permalink
FIRST POST-PRIMARY DELAWARE POLL – THERE'S WORK TO DO – AT 6:10 P.M. ET: Scott Rasmussen has released the first poll in Delaware taken after Christine O'Donnell's surprise victory in the GOP Senate primary:
The discouraging thing here is the undecideds. The undecided vote is only four percent. Even if O'Donnell picks up all of them, she'd still trail, 53% to 46%. I'm afraid Rasmussen is right. As of now, Delaware must be counted as solidly Democratic. However, the election isn't being held now. O'Donnell has seven weeks to produce a miracle. That means not only winning all or almost all the undecideds, but convincing those who have already made up their minds not to vote for her to switch. This will be in the face of a sustained campaign, not launched by a GOP primary opponent, but by professional Democrats and a good chunk of the "yes we can" media. I didn't support her in the primary, but I'm rooting for her now. By the way, her primary opponent, Mike Castle, has acted badly since his loss, refusing to endorse Christine or even call to congratulate her. He could have gone out in style, but chose to go out as a petty poor loser. September 16, 2010 Permalink
SNIPPET OF THE DAY – AT 10:04 A.M. ET:
Rude, ungrateful alligators have become a national problem. Schools just don't teach behavior any longer. September 16, 2010 Permalink TODAY'S "MUST READ" – AT 9:16 A.M. ET: We've said repeatedly that British journalists have often had the sharpest take on Obama. It's happened again. Mary Ellen Synon, in the Daily Mail, explains why, in this election campaign, Obama has become a liability to the Democratic Party:
That's a wonderful way of putting it. Now please read the rest of the article, which discusses a conversation being held here, across the internet, about an article by Dinesh D’Souza that claims that Obama is obsessed with the anti-colonialist mentality of his father, although colonialism hasn't been a problem for half a century. The Daily Mail piece concludes:
Great stuff. Do read, do read. September 16, 2010 Permalink
STOP FIGHTING, GUYS – IT'S THE DEMOCRATS YOU'VE GOT TO BEAT – AT 8:41 A.M. ET: The fallout from Tuesday's Delaware primary continues. Christine O'Donnell's win in the state's GOP Senate primary, has set off damaging skirmishes on the right. This is energy wasted. From a delighted Washington Post:
Okay, okay. Even Michael Barone, the best political analyst we've got, is predicting an O'Donnell loss in the general election. But she's the candidate we've got and it's time to stop the infighting. Elections are about numbers, and we need that Senate seat.
Commentators are turning on each other. Rove was giving his professional opinion as a Fox commentator. This is one of the things I've feared – that the GOP would find a way to blow this election. I'm hoping things calm down in the next few days. Delaware may (or may not) be gone, but this midterm isn't an election in one state, and it's not a national election. It's state by state, district by district. Let's make sure the adults are in charge and get back to business. September 16, 2010 Permalink
BOYS WILL BE BOYS – AT 8:19 A.M. ET: For years we've been frustrated by Arab journalists Photoshopping images during Arab-Israeli clashes, always to the detriment of Israel or the U.S. The damage is done before news organizations investigate and withdraw the offending photos. Now an Egyptian publication has been caught red-handed. This is one of those juicy stories we just had to report. From Britain's Telegraph:
It's encouraging to know that an opposition group in Egypt exposed the hoax:
COMMENT: Glad you noticed, guys. It's been going on for years. And we wonder why the Arab world doesn't love us. This is the level of their journalism. Oh, but wait. Maybe we're too harsh. We should accept the concept that this photo is simply "an alternative narrative." Now I feel better about myself. September 16, 2010 Permalink
FLORIDA LOOKS SOLID – AT 7:59 A.M. ET: When Republican Governor Charlie Crist of Florida announced he was running for the U.S. Senate, he looked like a shoo-in for the GOP nomination. Then, a young guy named Marco Rubio announced that he, too, would be running. Rubio was laughed at initially, but later developed a commanding lead in the polls. So Crist pulled a fast one. He announced that, poof, he was no longer running as a Republican, but would run as an independent. Some observers believed he had pulled off the most brilliant maneuver since MacArthur's landing at Inchon, Korea. Indeed, in early general-election polls, Crist led in a three-man race. Not so fast. Rubio was unshaken and simply continued to campaign. Now, he has, as he did in the GOP primary, built up a lead that looks insurmountable. Unless some disaster strikes, the Florida seat should be safe for our side. Reuters has the story:
COMMENT: Rubio is a rising star, and would be the first Cuban-American to go to the U.S. Senate. Watch him closely and think "national ticket." September 16, 2010 Permalink
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